In 2009, the high-brightness LED market has a retreat, and the lighting and backlight growth potential is large.
The high-brightness LED application market is mainly divided into mobile applications, lighting, automobiles, signs/displays, and signal lights. In 2008, the global high-brightness LED market value reached 5.1 billion US dollars, of which mobile applications accounted for 42%, logo / display applications accounted for 17%, automotive applications accounted for 15%, lighting applications accounted for 10%, signal applications accounted for 1%, the rest Accounted for 16% of the share.
Due to the global financial crisis, the high-brightness LED terminal application market in 2009 has regressed, and the mobile phone, automotive lighting and Other markets have experienced a recession. It is expected that the mobile phone market will decline by 10% in 2009. Emerging applications such as smart phones, Mp3 players, GPS and digital photo frames have grown, but they have not fully compensated for the decline in markets such as mobile phones.
Although some mature markets such as mobile phones have declined, the lighting and backlight display market has shown great growth potential.
At present, the LED lighting market still has problems of high dispersion, small output, high cost, uneven quality of products, and the challenges of LED product efficiency, quality, longevity and need to win consumer recognition, but with LED These conditions are gradually improving as technology develops. At present, many new companies intend to enter the LED lighting market. Many old lighting companies also have plans to enter the LED industry. The relevant standards are actively being developed, and the design of LED lamps and light engines is becoming more and more advanced. These have become positive factors in the development of the semiconductor lighting market. . At the same time, many countries, such as China and the United States, have introduced different incentive plans, which will also drive the development of the LED lighting market.
The LED backlight display market has seen strong growth in notebook backlight applications. In the LCD backlight application, some mainstream monitors began to use white LEDs in 2009. The LED light effect is better, and the cost gap is also reduced compared with CCFL. LED backlight has great development opportunities in display applications.
Market and product development forecast
The high-brightness LED market will decline by 3.7% in 2009, but as the economy recovers, many applications will resume growth. In the future, the high-brightness LED market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 24%. It is expected that the global high-brightness LED market will reach US$14.9 billion by 2013, of which lighting and backlighting will be the largest growth.
The main application of LED lighting will still be architectural lighting, accounting for 41% of the total. The share of white LEDs in the LED lighting market is about 58%, and white light general lighting applications are beginning to increase. In 2009, the replacement of lamps, outdoor lighting, retail lighting and commercial/industrial lighting in the lighting sector accounted for only 28% of the LED lighting market, but the growth was faster. In addition, LED continued to expand its penetration rate in niche (niche market, niche market) and general lighting in 2009, with a growth of 55% in 2008 and an increase of 15% in 2009 due to the impact of the economic downturn. Although the growth rate is slowing down, the market outlook is optimistic in the long run and will return to the track as the economic recovery recovers.
LED lighting has declined in 2009, but will resume growth, and will maintain a high growth rate from 2009 to 2011. At the same time, LED alternative lamps will start to grow rapidly from a lower level, driven by government policies and the phasing out of incandescent lamps worldwide.
The penetration of LED backlights on laptops has grown very fast, with a penetration rate of 3.5% in 2007 and 12% in 2008, and is expected to exceed 50% in 2009. The growth of notebook backlights is mainly due to the growth of small and high-end applications such as net-backlit netbooks and ultra-small laptops. In LCD TV backlight applications, major LCD TV manufacturers currently have LED backlight projects, Samsung, Sony, LG, Sharp and other LCD TV products with LED backlights have come out, but affected by consumer spending power, LCD TV backlight applications will become the most uncertain part in the short term.
In addition to the lighting and backlight market, some mature application markets, such as the mobile phone market, will continue to decline in the next five years.
In the automotive lighting application market, the application range of automotive interior and exterior LED lamps is expanding, and some mid-range vehicles are also beginning to adopt LED lamps, but they are affected by the decline in vehicle production (it is expected that automobile production will drop by 20% in 2009 worldwide). The US, Canada, Japan and European automotive markets will decline by 29%) and are expected to show a slow growth trend in the next few years.
It can be seen that lighting and backlight display applications will become the main force in the future high-brightness LED market. Recently, international giants have made efforts in the LED lighting and backlight market. GE values ​​the outdoor lighting market and set up a large R&D center to invest in the development of LED systems. Samsung actively promotes the development of LED-backlit TVs and continuously introduces new products...from which we You can feel the prospects of the LED lighting and backlight display market, and it is also foreseeable that the future market competition will be extraordinarily fierce. (Reporter Wang Mei is based on the speech of the conference and has not been reviewed by me)
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