Low carbon will launch an impact on the auto industry, state subsidies or launch in March
A few days ago, China announced its decision to reduce domestic carbon emissions by 40% to 45% by 2020 compared to 2005. The automobile industry is a national key industry, with sales exceeding 10 million units this year, and more families have fulfilled their automobile dreams. However, traditional cars have always been large carbon emitters, and studies have said that a car emits harmful exhaust gases up to four times its own weight every year. In this "contradiction" between the hot car market and emission targets, the domestic auto industry is bound to face a positive impact, and new structural adjustments and industrial upgrades are coming.
Opportunity: Six adults tend to buy "low-carbon cars"
Last week, a car named "NUVU" was quietly placed in the corner of Guangdong Science Center. The reporter saw that the visitors were endless. "This is a zero-emission battery-powered car?" Some audience asked curiously.
China's auto market has ranked first in the world this year, with a growth rate of up to 40%, but almost all sales are based on traditional cars such as gasoline and diesel. Guangdong is a major automobile province, and the report written by the Provincial Environmental Protection Bureau in 2004 counted 13 million motor vehicles in the province that discharged 1.7 million tons of pollutants each year, with an annual increase of 10%. According to this calculation, this year's figure will reach 2.5 million tons.
"Our country's announced target is far higher than the US commitment of 17%, which reflects the government's high priority on global climate issues." Dongfeng Nissan Ren Yong told this newspaper, "We have released the 'Green City Plan with the introduction of electric vehicles as the core ', Electric vehicles will be introduced in 2011. "
Yao Yiming, deputy general manager of GAC Honda, told this newspaper that Guangben's "CO2 reduction plan" has been finalized first, and the CO2 emissions of a single product will be reduced by 6% next year compared with 2005, and the cumulative reduction of emissions will be 50,000 tons.
In addition to industrial adjustment, "low carbon" also means sales increase. According to a survey conducted by the British RSA Insurance Group on consumers in nine global markets, China is willing to pay an additional fee of 5% to 10% for environmentally friendly products, and six adults are more inclined to buy low-carbon vehicles.
Direction: car companies have clear solutions
Ford's research shows that by 2010, hybrid vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles, and pure electric vehicles of the same model can reduce CO2 emissions by 26%, 31%, and 33%, respectively, compared to gasoline engines.
"The development process of new energy vehicles mainly depends on the development of power batteries." Xiangcai Automobile Researcher thinks so. Take hybrid vehicles as an example. Since nickel-hydrogen power technology is basically mature, mainstream products can be won within 3 to 5 years.
Pure electric vehicles are mainly driven by lithium batteries. At present, they still have to solve the technical and cost issues. It is expected that they will be industrialized after 5 years. As for fuel cell vehicles that can achieve zero emissions, it is still in its infancy and is expected to mature in more than 15 years.
"Zero emissions is undoubtedly the ultimate goal of the automotive society." Ren Yong told this newspaper that electric vehicles are the ultimate solution. The realization of the popularity of pure electric vehicles can achieve a reduction of 40% to 45% of China ’s domestic carbon emissions by 2020 compared with 2005. aims. "Therefore, electric vehicles will occupy a central position in the wave of new energy vehicles in the next 10 years."
Yao Yiming said that as long as the Chinese market has the application factors and the company's production preparation is relatively adequate, he believes that the introduction of energy-saving and environmentally friendly vehicles is only a matter of time.
Dilemma: subsidies, charging network and consumption concept
In an interview with this newspaper, almost all the heads of enterprises who want to enter the new energy vehicle are worried that due to the policy tilt and the corresponding subsidy is not clear, it will become a popular "blocker".
"The new energy subsidy should include technology R & D and automobile production and sales and other links." Dongfeng Nissan Ren Yong said, taking the United States as an example, in March this year, another 2.4 billion US dollars was arranged to support the development and industrialization of plug-in electric vehicles. One hundred million dollars is used to support the research and development and industrialization of advanced power batteries. In terms of new energy vehicle purchase subsidies, the United States also has very large preferential policies.
"The introduction of energy-saving and environmentally-friendly automotive products requires the guidance of national policies and the coordination of the consumer environment." Yao Yiming told this newspaper, "You can imagine, for example, we have bought an electric car, where to go to charge halfway." He revealed Now, our country is already considering these factors and measures. Only when the policy is in place and the environment is suitable, can these energy-saving and environmentally friendly products be accepted by the market.
The infrastructure of electric vehicles, the unification of industry standards, and consumers' car buying concepts are all in dire need of solving problems. If a charging network is to be built, it must be coordinated by the national grid. The standard is full of controversy due to the different technical routes. The concept of buying a car is related to the selling price, and the sedans with similar performance on the market, the current bid price of the hybrid is twice that of the traditional model, which is far away.
Even according to Roland Berger ’s most optimistic forecast, China ’s market share for new energy-powered vehicles will only reach 15% by 2020.
Measures: State subsidies or launch in March
In response to the concerns of car companies, on February 5 this year, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Science and Technology issued the "Interim Measures for the Management of Financial Subsidies for Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Demonstration and Promotion", which provides certain subsidies for car purchases in the public service field. Wait for 13 cities to conduct pilot demonstrations.
There is news in the industry that China will release new energy vehicle technical specifications in the near future, and the new energy vehicle development plan has been reported to be officially announced in March next year, which will involve subsidies.
In order to speed up development, Guangzhou has established a new energy vehicle industry development leading group, and has begun to study the development plan of the new energy vehicle industry. According to a consultation draft obtained first in this newspaper, the car purchase subsidy policy will be piloted from next year to 2015 at the earliest. The amount of a single car subsidy will be determined according to the energy saving rate and emission reduction.
The plan also proposes to build the necessary charging facilities in the demonstration bus station by 2010, and the new residential areas and public parking lots to be equipped with a certain number of charging facilities from next year.
List of measures for countries to promote "low-carbon cars"
European Union: Penalties will be imposed on new M1 cars with CO2 emissions exceeding 130g / km from 2012;
France: In 2008, a car with a carbon dioxide emission of less than 100g per kilometer was given a 5,000 euro bonus, and a car exceeding 160g can be charged a maximum of 2,600 euros in exhaust emission tax;
Germany: The policy of levying automobile tax on engine displacement and CO2 emissions will be implemented from July;
Sweden, Quebec, Canada: levy taxes similar to "carbon tariffs";
Japan: A 3-year policy that implements free, 75%, and 50% discounts on low-emission vehicles;
United States: By 2016, the emissions of cars and trucks will be reduced by 30%, and the average fuel efficiency of new cars will be increased from the current 11km / L to 15.44km / L.
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